By Favour Ifeoluwa & Akinola Ajibade
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) says the lingering conflict between Russia and Ukraine has impacted Nigeria crude oil inflows at the international oil market, as well as causing a dip in demand of the product in the Asian market.
The nation's oil company said this, while given an insight into how the Russia-Ukraine Conflict affected the international crude oil market since the time hostilities began in the Eastern Bloc few years ago.
Speaking on the issue during a panel presentation at the Angus European Crude Conference in London recently, the Executive Director, Crude & Condensate, NNPC Trading Limited, Maryamu Idris said the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has triggered a situation, in which India, a primary destination for Nigerian grades, was forced to increase its appetite for discounted Russian barrels to the detriment of some Nigerian volumes.
This, she said, is in addition to the substantial price shocks impacting the commodity and energy prices globally.
She said: “To illustrate the extent of this shift, Nigeria’s crude exports to India dwindled from approximately 250,000 barrels per day (bpd) in the six months preceding the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine to 194,000 in the subsequent six months afterwards. And so far, this year, only around 120,000 bpd of Nigerian crude volumes have made their way to India."
Idris, on the other hand, noted that Nigerian crude flow to Europe has increased in a bid to fill supply gaps left by the ban on Russian crude, pointing out that six months before the war, 678,000 bpd of Nigerian crude grades went to Europe, compared to 710,000 bpd six months later and 730,000 bpd so far this year.
Ukraine Soldiers in Military Train“This trend makes it evident that Nigerian grades are increasingly becoming a significant component in the post-war palette of European refiners. Despite the absence of Russian Urals and diesel, several Nigerian distillate-rich grades have become a steady preference for many European refiners. Forcados Blend, Escravos Light, Bonga, and Egina appear to be the most popular, and our latest addition — Nembe Crude – fits well into this basket. This was a strong factor behind our choice of London and the Argus European Crude Conference as the most ideal launch hub for the grade,” Idris also said.
On production challenges, Idris remarked that, Nigeria, like other oil-producing countries, had faced production challenges aggravated by the COVID-19 pandemic, including reduced investment in the upstream sector, supply chain disruptions impacting upstream operations, ageing oil fields, and oil theft by unscrupulous elements. These factors, she said, contributed to production declines in the second half of 2022 and early 2023.
Idris, however, noted that the challenges are fast becoming a thing of the past with the introduction and implementation of a new framework for the domestic petroleum industry (the PIA of 2021), rejuvenating the business landscape, and re-positioning NNPC Limited to adopt a more commercial approach to the management of the nation’s hydrocarbon resources.
According to her, NNPC Limited has partnered notable financial institutions to promote upstream investments to restore and sustainably grow production capacity in the coming years.
“NNPC Limited is championing concerted efforts in partnership with host communities and private stakeholders to address the security and environmental challenges in the Niger Delta to further fortify production growth. Suffice to say we have already begun seeing significant progress on the rebound. In September 2023, Nigeria recorded its highest crude oil and condensate output in nearly two years, reaching 1.72 million barrels per day. This, we believe, is just the beginning of our production rebound.”
She affirmed that in addition to sustainably growing upstream production volumes, NNPC Limited is also increasing its participation in the downstream sector in line with a ‘wells-to-wheels’ approach, taking the country’s unique hydrocarbon molecules as close as possible to end-users.
The vehicle for this, she said, is the restructured NNPC Trading Company, focused on growing NNPC’s presence in the global market for crude, condensate, gas, and petroleum products.
The Argus Crude European Crude Conference Panel Session was held with the theme, ‘The Invisible Hand: How Are Shareholders and Asset Managers Meeting the Crude Industry? What Does This Mean for the Future of Crude in Europe?’
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